The Simplified Investor

A Blog about Stocks and Market Forces

Archive for October, 2008

Dry Bulk Shippers and the BDI Can’t Stay Afloat in the Recession

One of the lesser-known fundamentals underpinning the global economy is the Baltic Dry Index, a benchmark that measures dry-bulk shipping rates. Dry bulk goods include the most commonly used raw materials, like grains, coal, and metals. When global economies are booming, demand for these inputs (and the ships to transport them) fuels high day rates for companies like DryShips (NDAQ:DRYS) to transport these goods across the world’s oceans.

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Looking for the End of the Financial Crisis? Watch the TED Spread

Last week, things looked bleak for equity investors. As the Dow Jones and S&P 500 slid to historic lows, and the TED spread soared to a historic high (more on that below), it looked to many like the thing to do was pull out of stocks entirely, and enter safer assets like gold, T-bills, and steady bank savings accounts. But on Monday, the market bounced, led by the news that the U.S. government will invest up to $250 billion to shore up the U.S. banking system in a plan similar to measures taken by several European powers, including Germany and the U.K.
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5 Reasons Stocks Will Keep Falling

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell below 8600 today - bleeding another 7% to continue the incredible losses that have take place all week. It seems like the much anticipated bailout has not had the effect that many anticipated - rather than assuading investor concerns that the worst of the financial crisis was over, it was an inadequate leavy in a flood of capital out of the equity markets and into more stable gold and treasury bonds.

And there’s reason to believe that the markets will keep falling in the great financial crisis of 2008. Some major macroeconomic indicators point to tough times in coming quarters.

Here’s a top 5:
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